
Winter break is about to end, and we are about to get another snow storm. It has been a winter characterized by periods of extreme cold and lots of snow. Lots. My driveway plowing bill documents that for me in a quantitative manner.
All of this snow has also allowed a friend to play that perennial favorite game, "Gotcha!" with me. Summarizing our discussion, it went something like this: Al Gore and An Inconvenient Truth, heh? Where's the global warming? Just a couple of years ago you showed me an article from the New York Times that discussed the lack of old time winters - they talked about warmer weather and decreasing amounts of snow. Look at our weather these past two months! What do you have to say about that? I mean, as a biology teacher? Do you still believe in global warming? (You can insert the "gotch" after any one of those sentences).
Taking a deep breath, I assured my friend that, unfortunately, I do continue to have major concerns about global warming, or as I prefer to say climate change. Weather patterns are extremely complex system and need to be observed at a variety of geographic and geologic locations over long periods of time to observe the potential changes scientists are discussing. Vermont's seasonal snowfall may change from year to year, but it's the long term (i.e., 50-100 year) change in regional climate that is of greatest concern to scientists. As well as the red flag alerts that are appearing in critically sensitive areas, like the poles.
Behold the picture at the heading of this post. A quick glance at the image, may suggest that some polar explorers are keeping warm around a campfire, but that is not what's happening. I took this screen shot from a news video about climate change at the poles. The image is far more ominous than it initially appears.
The frozen tundra just south of the circumpolar region is melting at an alarming rate. Aside from the obvious risks to migratory animals (ie caribou) that are having a harder time traveling in the watery mosquito infested muck, this melting land is also releasing the dead organic mulch-like material to bacterial decomposers. This is a newly released organic banquet for these critters. They're chowing down. And their excreting carbon based gases into our atmosphere at an accelerating rate.
In the picture at the top, a scientist lit a torch above the melting tundra and ignited the natural gas (methane) being released by the newly thawed land. As more of this carbon based gas is released into the atmosphere, the atmosphere will - hypothetically - retain more heat. This is turn will cause more permafrost to melt, releasing more carbon based gas, causing greater warming, causing more melting, etc. etc. etc. This is called a positive feedback loop. An increase in variable "A" leads to an increase in variable "B", which in turn leads to a further increase in variable "A" - and on and on it goes.
A couple of years ago, I attended a presentation at Dartmouth given by Aqaluk Lynge, the President of the Inuit Circumpolar Council (ICC). The ICC represants the people who have lived around the north pole for centuries, eking out a survival - in fact thriving - without a designated country, or government. Lynge remarked that climate change is only being debated by the western countries. "My people" he said "have observed the effects of climate change, caused by your western nations, for decades". Migratory paths are altering. Animals hunted for survival are disappearing. Insects are increasing. Glaciers are cleaving. A way of life that has existed for thousands of years is disappearing in our lifetimes.
Koyaanisqatsi. The hopi word that refers to the disintegration of a life in turmoil, also has another clarion call in its definition: "a state of life that calls for another way of living". Indeed. It's time to return to lives that are more in tune with nature; lives in balance.